At 4.05%, the current 2yr treasury sits in the 79th percentile of the last decade — near the high end of its 10-year range.
Month-over-month change: up 0.33 percentage points.
Short-term government bond yield, reflecting near-term Fed policy expectations. Inversion vs the 10-year yield (when 2yr > 10yr) has preceded every US recession since 1955.
Data sourced directly from U.S. Treasury via FRED (DGS2). Updated daily. Published by CalcFi Editorial. See our methodology.
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